Gaethje vs Piorrier

UFC Fight Night Preview: Justin Gaethje vs Dustin Poirier

On paper, this Saturday’s UFC ox Fox 29 main event between Dustin Poirier and Justin Gaethje is set to be an entertaining one. Poirier has gone to a judge’s decision in just seven of his 28 fights, while Gaethje has only left two of his 19 fights in the hands of the judges.

 

Dustin Poirier form and fight record

Res.

Opponent

Method

Event

Date

Win Anthony Pettis TKO (rib injury) UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis November 11, 2017
NC Eddie Alvarez NC (illegal knees) UFC 211 May 13, 2017
Win Jim Miller Decision (majority) UFC 208 February 11, 2017
Loss Michael Johnson KO (punches) UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson September 17, 2016
Win Bobby Green KO (punches) UFC 199 June 4, 2016

If Poirier wishes to extend his win streak to three, he will need to fight with the diverse plan that is he commonly known to implement in his fights. There is no question that Poirier has become one of the top strikers in the lightweight division, having won three of his eight lightweight fights by TKO/KO on the feet.

He can be confident in striking with Gaethje, but he also needs to attempt takedowns in order to ensure that Gaethje does not get too comfortable on his feet, where he is known to do the most damage.

Watch the replay of Piorier vs. Pettis

Justin Gaethje form and fight record

Res.

Opponent

Method

Event

Date

Loss Eddie Alvarez KO (knee and punches) UFC 218 December 2, 2017
Win Michael Johnson TKO (punches and knees) The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale July 7, 2017
Win Luiz Firmino TKO (doctor stoppage) WSOF 34 December 31, 2016
Win Brian Foster TKO (leg kicks) WSOF 29 March 12, 2016
Win Luis Palomino KO (punches) WSOF 23 September 18, 2015

In his career so far, Gaethje has displayed an interesting way of striking that seems to perfectly combine technical striking with brawling. Although that has helped win him numerous fights via stoppage, it has also made him easier to hit, as seen in his two UFC fights with Michael Johnson and Eddie Alvarez.

Because of this, Gaethje will need to bring a more technical striking approach that emphasises speed and precision over pure power. Poirier has been susceptible to quick and accurate strikers (ie. Conor McGregor and Michael Johnson) so Gaethje will likely have a better chance at beating Poirier by implementing this approach in their fight.

Watch the video highlights of Gaethje vs. Alvarez

Justin Gaethje vs Dustin Poirier prediction

We have to agree with the majority of the bookmakers out there in siding with Dustin Poirier to win this UFC match-up. Our prediction is that after a full on war, “Diamond” will have enough left in the tank to pull off a stoppage. If it’s going to be via TKO we’re potentially looking at him doing so in the 4 th or 5 th round. Fingers crossed this one doesn’t end prematurely. Read more UFC predictions here.

 

Who do you think will win this fight? Leave your thoughts in the comments section below. 

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