This is a fight preview for UFC 129: Condit vs Magny. Read on for our match prediction.
Oh Natural Born Killer, how we have missed you in the Octagon. Has it really been almost over a year since the agile kickboxing maestro graced the UFC with his presence? If GSP can come back in style after serious time on the sidelines and snatch a win, then anything is possible for Condit. But not if Neil Magny has his way, who as the more active of the two contenders will be aiming to claim glory at UFC 219. Despite a hit-and-miss career, Magny will be looking to scalp hall-of-famer Condit to prove his worth in the welterweight division.
This has the hallmarks of a make or break fight for Condit. A brave move to re enter the Octagon after semi retirement against a lively and unpredictable Magny. Or perhaps credit goes out to Dana White in drawing in a fan favourite to an underwhelming New Year’s eve main event – without the appeal of Condit, this main card would be looking rather light in the action department. If this bout is for the money, then more fool Condit. Instead we hope his intentions are to tear up the 170-pound division one fight at a time. What about the clash of styles?
The Natural Born Killer is known for bringing a high cardio game to the ring, fans will expect nothing less from him on his return at UFC 219. Magny does little to excite the UFC fanbase and his mixed bag of results will raise questions over his potential to outshine Condit over three rounds. Both fighters have tasted defeat on numerous occasions but have also clocked up almost 50 wins collectively. A win will catapult either fighter towards a top-10 fight, whereas another loss could suggest it’s the end of the road.
Carlos Condit Form and Fight Record
Condit has the more impressive record of the two athletes, he comes into the fight with 33 wins and 10 losses. Don’t forget the last time we saw him in action was more than a year. The Albuquerque native lost by submission to Demian Maia in that encounter, the second straight loss after losing out to Robbie Lawler on a split decision. Before then, Condit came up short against a hungry Tyron Woodley and got the better of veteran martin Kampmann.
Last Five UFC Fights
Loss via submission – Demian Maia
Loss via split decision – Robbie Lawler
Win via doctor’s stoppage – Thiago Alvez
Loss via TKO/KO – Tyron Woodley
Win via TKO/KO – Martin Kampmann
Watch the UFC replay of Carlos Condit against Demian Maia
Neil Magny Form and Fight Record
Magny (19-6), is up three and down tow in his last five UFC fights. The Colorado-based fighter didn’t go past round 1 in his last match-up, in which Rafael Dos Anjos made quick work of him. Another early loss at the hands of Larkin means Magny is easy to get at from the first bell. His victories over the likes of Johny Hendricks and Hector Lombard may sway fans otherwise, as he has proved he can mix it with the elite athletes in the welterweight division.
Last Five UFC Fights
Loss via submission – Rafael Dos Anjos
Win via unanimous decision – Johny Hendricks
Loss via TKO/KO – Lorenz Larkin
Win via TKO/KO – Hector Lombard
Win via split decision – Kelvin Gastelum
Watch the UFC replay of Neil Magny against Rafael Dos Anjos
UFC Betting Odds
Here is a round-up of the popular markets according to leading global betting operators. Odds are displayed in fractions.
Fight to go over 2.5 rounds – 4/5 l Betfair
Carlos Condit to win – 4/7 l Bet365
Neil Magny to win – 6/5 l Skybet
Either fighter to win in round 1 – 13/5 l Ladbrokes
Our Tips and Prediction
Magny is a dogged fighter with a varied toolbox, but not a UFC contender in the making. While he is a worthy gatekeeper to the top fighters at welterweight, he doesn’t have the killer instinct to cause a major upset. Condit on the other hand has it all to work for, hence why many of the bookmakers have him as favourite to win the fight. We tend to agree with the statisticians on this occasion and believe – although it may be a war with both guys taking punishment – Condit will reign supreme by the final bell.
Our pick in for the Natural Born Killer to win via unanimous or split decision.