Tony Ferguson vs. Anthony Pettis (UFC 229) Prediction and Betting Picks

UFC 229 will feature two solid veterans of the Lightweight division as Anthony ‘Showtime’ Pettis and Tony ‘El Cucuy’ battle it out in a match that has major implication for the top of the 155 pound division.

Ferguson vs. Pettis Take of the Tape

Tony Ferguson Anthony Pettis
United StatesNationalityUnited States
180 cmHeight177 cm

Ferguson vs. Pettis Betting Picks

We’ve rounded up our pick of the betting markets available for this UFC 229 event based on plausible outcomes. Note, all views are our own and these selections are in no way affiliated with betting platforms.

Ferguson to win outright @ 2/7

Although he is coming back from an injury, Ferguson has been a dominant force in the UFC for the past few years. The Ultimate Fighter 13 winner is currently riding a 10 fight win streak, which includes wins over former Lightweight champion Rafael Dos Anjos, Kevin Lee, Edson Barboza and former Strikeforce Lightweight champion Josh Thomson.

Ferguson’s technical, yet gritty approach to his fights, combined with his great ability to use his length, has made him an almost unstoppable fighter in recent times. While he has shown a vulnerability to getting knocked down (see his fights against Kevin Lee, Edson Barboza and Lando Vannata), he has successfully fought through adversity and come out on top. Because of all of those factors, we think a bet on Ferguson to beat Pettis is a great one.

Anthony Pettis to win outright @ 11/4

A former WEC and UFC Lightweight champion, Pettis looked like he was going to be one of the greatest of all time at one point. After losing the UFC belt against Rafael Dos Anjos, however, Pettis has had mixed results in the Octagon.

Pettis is coming off a submission victory against Chiesa, so there is the potential of Pettis riding a good wave of momentum into his Ferguson fight. That, combined with his unpredictable, unorthodox approach to the fight game, make a Pettis worth putting a little punt on.

Ferguson to win by submission @ 12/5

El Cucuy has a great stand-up game, but it is the ground on which he been most effective. Six of Ferguson’s 13 UFC victories come by way of submission, with top-tier fighters like Barboza, Kevin Lee and Gleison Tibau all falling victim to his submissions.

However, Pettis – a submission master in his own right – has never officially lost by submission in his 28-fight career. If there’s anyone who can submit him, though, it is Ferguson, which makes a bet on Ferguson to win via submission an interesting – and perhaps genius – one to make.

Fight to go the distance @ 4/5

Both fighters have shown themselves to be proven finishers. Only three of Ferguson’s past 10 fights have gone to a decision, while Pettis has gone to the judges in just four of his last 10 bouts. On the other hand, both fighters have proven to be hard to finish, with Ferguson only having been finished once in 26 fights and Pettis having only been finished twice in 28 fights.

Pettis’ two stoppage losses have come in the last 21 months, but even they were both in the third round – a testament to his overall durability. Given that this fight is only a three-rounder, a bet on the fight going the distance may be a good one, but don’t be surprised if it ends via stoppage.


Editor’s picks for UFC 229:

Conor McGregor vs. Khabib Nurmagomedov fight preview

Derrick Lewis vs. Alexander Volkov fight preview

Ovince Saint Preux vs. Dominick Reyes fight preview

Michelle Waterston vs. Felice Herrig fight preview


Our Verdict – Tony Ferguson Decision Win

Ferguson has been on a roll over the past five years, and we believe that roll will continue as El Cucuy will implement a smart game plan and pressure Pettis on the feet for the whole three rounds.

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