Ronaldo ‘Jacare’ Souza vs. Chris Weidman Online Tips, Prediction and Preview

They are two of the best UFC Middleweights to have never fought each other, and now Ronaldo ‘Jacare’ Souza and Chris Weidman are set to go head-to-head in a fight that could determine the number one contender at 185 pounds.

This UFC 230 match-up is one of three middleweight bout on the main event, which has seen plenty of shuffling around following the loss of Luke Rockhold on the night. Fellow 185 lbs-ers Brunson and Adesanya also make up the card which is headlined by Cormier vs. Lewis.

All the action takes place around 9pm local time in New York, whilst viewers outside of the States can tune in from 2am (UK) and 1pm (Australia).


UFC 230 Fight Card

Here is the full, updated schedule for the main event at UFC 230.

Heavyweight Daniel Cormier (c) vs. Derrick Lewis
Middleweight Chris Weidman vs. Ronaldo Souza
Middleweight David Branch vs. Jared Cannonier
Middleweight Karl Roberson vs. Jack Marshman
Middleweight Derek Brunson vs. Israel Adesanya

Weidman vs Jacare Betting Picks and Odds

Chris Weidman comes in at short odds of 1/2 to leave the Octagon at UFC 230 with a win. Jacare meanwhile, looks to be a wildcard bet for the victory with longer odds of 6/4. Here is our round-up of the possible ways in which this fight can go, to inspire your choice of stake leading up to the fight.

Chris Weidman to win outright

The former champion has had mixed success since losing the 185 pound strap to Rockhold back in UFC 194. He lost to Yoel Romero and also lost to Gegard Mousasi in controversial circumstances before defeating up-and-comer Kelvin Gastelum in July 2017.

Weidman has shown himself to be a strong starter, often beating his opponents with his crisp, powerful striking from distance while mixing in the wrestling for which he is best known. However, he has also shown a tendency to fade later on in fights, as shown in his losses to Rockhold and Romero.

Given that this is only a three-rounder, Weidman should be able to keep composed, and he will need to stay so against a durable veteran like Jacare.

Jacare to win outright

Jacare’s 15-year, 32-fight MMA career has been absolutely stellar. He is a former defending Strikeforce Middleweight champion and was a top five fighter at 185 pounds in the UFC. The Brazilian is coming off a split-decision loss against Kelvin Gastelum, but his six first-round UFC victories show that he is still a force to be reckoned with in the Middleweight division.

While he is most renowned for his strong BJJ game, Jacare also possesses solid stand-up, and he may be able to beat Weidman if he can use a diverse approach and stop Weidman from ever becoming complacent.

Jacare to win by submission

With 14 of his 25 victories coming via submission, Jacare’s reputation as a marvel on the ground is well deserved. The Brazilian has a tendency to close the distance and take fighters to the ground using perfect technique as opposed to pure brute strength.

Weidman, however, trains with Ray Longo and Matt Serra, who are known to be some of the greatest MMA/BJJ coaches in the business today. Because of that, we would have to think that Weidman’s submission defence will be on point, but it is always worth throwing a small punt on a submission victory for Jacare.

Fight to go the distance

Jacare has gone to decision only three times in his 11 UFC fights, while Weidman has also only see the judges three times in his 13 Octagon outings. That said, both fighters’ ground games are strong, and they will likely cancel each other out, which means we may see both fighters duke it out on the feet.

Both Jacare and Weidman have KO power, as shown in their six combined TKO/KO victories in the UFC. That means both fighters may be tentative on the feet, which could mean that this fight ends up going into the hands of the judges.


Fight Prediction – Weidman via Decision

Both Weidman and Jacare are still among the top Middleweights in the world, but at nearly 39 years of age, Jacare’s best days are behind him and Weidman will mainly keep the fight on the feet en route to a clear 29-28 or 30-27 victory.

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