Check out our fight preview and predictions for UFC Fight Night: Johnson vs. Lobov, set for October 27th in Moncton, New Brunswick, Canada.
Fight Preview and Tale of the Tape
|Michael Johnson||Atem Lobov|
|177 cm||Height||175 cm|
|W L L L W||Form||L W W L L|
Michael Johnson Form
The career of Michael ‘The Menace’ Johnson was all but hanging from a thread until his most recent Octagon appearance, a bout in which he took a split decision victory over Andre Fili. Past form has been lacking, exposed in defeats by Darren Elkins, Justin Gaethje and Khabib Nurmagomedov. To his credit, he is competing in the golden age of the lightweight division so a few losses here and there is par for the course.
- Eight wins by knockout, two by submission (kimura, undisclosed submission)
- Pro since 2008
- Has won six of his last 11
- Eight first round finishes
Atem Lobov Form
Fighting out of Ireland under John Kavanagh, ‘The Russian Hammer’ is makes his third competitive outing this year at UFC Fight Night Moncton. All things considered, Lobov has done well to make co-main event and one has to wonder if his moment in the spotlight was in some way influenced by his involvement in the Mcgregor-Khabib dust-ups. Because inside the Octagon Lobov has not set the world alight: two wins in six says it all.
- 18 wins by KO, 10 by submission (4 triangle, RNC, 2 armbar, arm triangle, 2 undisclosed submissions) – only two wins by decision.
- 7-1 between UFC appearances – most recent non-UFC bout was first round TKO of Josh Neer on 1/14/16
- 17- first round finishes
- Has won 13 of his last 15 and two in a row
Michael Johnson vs. Aterm Lobov Betting Markets and Odds
Going on the premonitions of the major betting platforms, The Menace is scripted to win this contest outright. His odds to beat Lobov are sky high at 1/7. Lobov, on the other hand, comes in at 5/1 to claim the victory.
Check out our recommended markets for how to bet on this UFC bout below.
Michael Johnson to win by decision
Backing Johnson to win outright makes sense on paper but offers little incentive for punters. Let’s turn our attention to the likelihood of a points win coming to fruition. Back in his heyday The Menace was turning over decisions on high profile fighters like Lauzon, Barboza and Guillard. He has also had decisions ruled against him (Nate Diaz for one) so backing him to see out the fight seems plausible.
You can back Johnson to win by this method below:
Artem Lobov to win by decision
From crumbling against Ryan Hall in the Ultimate Fighter finale to his more recent letdown against Andre Fili, The Russian Hammer has gone the distance in every UFC appearance to date. If Lobov is consistent and puts up the odd takedown defence and lands a few choice shots of his own he has every chance of influencing the judges to score the fight in his favour. It’s a high risk move, but worth looking at.
You can back Lobov to win by this method below:
William Hill – 4/1
Michael Johnson to win by KO/TKO
When Khabib went up against McGregor the argument made for him to lose was centred around his stand-up game, having been previously rocked byMichael Johnson. The Menace therefore has credit with the UFC community in striking well. He finished fights in this manner against the likes of Piorier and Tibau. Backing him to stop Lobov inside the distance in not outside the realms of possibility.
Prediction – Michael Johnson to Win Outright
This fight isn’t packed with the ingredients to produce an all-out war, and our guess is that we see these two guys go the full distance in a watered-down grapple-a-thon. Johnson has the makings of a serious contender at 145 lbs, whereas it’s fair to say Lobov is punching above his weight.
If the judges have an off-day then the fight can go either way, that’s a sad fact of decision point scoring. So if Johnson wants to prove he is levels above his Russian foe this weekend he has to end the fight in swift and clinically.