Luke Rockhold vs. Chris Weidman 2 Fight Prediction and Betting Picks

In a rematch of their 2015 Middleweight title bout, Luke Rockhold and Chris Weidman are set to go
head-to-head in a fight that could put the winner in contention to win gold once again.

Rockhold vs Weidman Betting Picks

We’ve rounded up a handful of possible outcomes for how this UFC 230 middleweight contest could end, from the perspective of the betting platforms BetFred and William Hill. Both outfits have Rockhold as the favourite by a whisker so let’s deep dive into the thinking behind those odds and other plausible markets to back for this event.

Chris Weidman to win outright @ 6/5

The former champion has had mixed success since losing the 185 pound strap to Rockhold back in UFC 194. He lost to Yoel Romero and also lost to Gegard Mousasi in controversial circumstances before defeating up-and-comer Kelvin Gastelum in July 2017.

Weidman has shown himself to be a strong starter, often beating his opponents with his crisp, powerful striking from distance while mixing in the wrestling for which he is best known. However, he has also shown a tendency to fade later on in fights, as shown in his first loss to Rockhold and his loss to Romero.

Given that this is only a three-rounder, Weidman should be able to keep composed, and he will need to stay so against a durable veteran like Rockhold.

Luke Rockhold to win outright @ 4/6

Like Weidman, Rockhold has also had mixed success since their first fight. He lost the belt in a stunning upset to Michael Bisping at UFC 199, before beating David Branch. He lost his last fight by third-round KO against Yoel Romero in the main event of UFC 221 in February this year.

One of the most well-rounded fighters in the Middleweight division, Rockhold’s elite striking and grappling game remain a solid threat to Weidman. Rockhold also has the psychological edge of having beaten – and finished – Weidman once before, which makes a bet on a Rockhold win a good one to make.

Luke Rockhold to win by TKO/KO @ 5/1

Rockhold’s first win against Weidman came via TKO in the fourth round, after he dominated the third round with a performance that would’ve got a stoppage from most referees. His powerful kicks on the feet and ground-and-pound certainly make it possible that he could beat Weidman that way again.

Most of Weidman’s stoppage victories have come via submission, but given Weidman’s strong jiu- jitsu background (he is trained by Matt Serra and Ray Longo) it is unlikely that Rockhold will actively go for submissions. This makes a bet by TKO/KO a potentially good one to make.

Fight to go the distance @ 6/5

Both Rockhold and Weidman seem to have a hatred for the judges as most of their fights fail to go to the scorecards. Only four of Weidman’s 17 MMA fights have gone the distance, while only two of Rockhold’s 20 fights have gone to the judges (none of his nine UFC Fights have gone the distance).

However, we believe that both fighters may be tentative at the start, given Weidman’s first-hand experience of Rockhold’s power and Rockhold’s first-hand experience of Weidman’s ability to start strong. With that, a small bet on the fight going to the judge’s may yield a big payday for those brave enough to make a wager.


UFC 230 Prediction – Weidman to Win

We’re making a bold prediction and going for a close decision win for the All-American. Don’t get us wrong, we won’t be surprised if a stoppage occurs, but like the first fight, we see Weidman starting strong and doing enough throughout the bout to hang on to the final bell.

The perception of Luke Rockhold as the best fighter on the planet at 185 lbs has had its day; the Ralph Lauren ambassador looked a shadow of himself in attempting to make weight last time out against Romero. We saw how that cut came back to bit him hard. Don’t be shocked if history repeats itself at UFC 230.

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