Current middleweight champion Gennady Golovkin takes on Canelo Alvarez in a long-awaited rematch for all the silverware this Saturday at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Here is our pick of the betting odds for this main event along with our fight prediction…
Tale of the tape
|Gennady Golovkin||vs.||Canelo Alvarez|
|179 cm||Height||173 cm|
|178 cm||Reach||179 cm|
Gennady Golovkin vs. Canelo Betting Odds
Given below is a selection of betting odds for the GGG vs. Canelo fight, along with the markets worth placing a stake on. The featured odds have been taken from an average of 10 mainstream betting platforms in the UK and USA.
Golovkin to win outright @ 8/11 > low risk bet
At the second time of asking we finally have the pleasure of watching current middleweight champion Gennady Golovkin take on long-term foe Saul Canelo Alvarez. The odds-makers have given GGG a a nod of approval for leaving an undefeated record in tact at 8/11.
GGG’s fight history says enough about his credentials coming into this title bout. Canelo hit him with his best shot – a punch that rocked Amir Khan into another planet – and he laughed it off, so a KO against him is rightly off the cards. Only a smart fight at range from the challenger makes for a potential upset. Our champ is slowing with age, so they say. But he has never tasted defeat.
Canelo to win outright @ 6/4 > low-mid risk bet
If this was any fighter other than Golovkin, such short odds would be a straight-up invitation for free money. But not on this occasion for reasons both in and out of the boxing ring:
Canelo hasn’t been active since 12 months to the dot. Even as a man in his twenties with a few years on GGG, a full year out can usher the ring rust to seep in. An active fighter can upscale and evolve in that window, hence the Mexican may be off to a bad start before the first bell.
Outside of the ring, the tainted meat scandal has blown up in his face. Testing positive for PEDs said to be a masking agent for more sinister substances has raised questions over whether the challenger was juiced up during their first fight. Can a clean Canelo match his first performance? We’re doubting this outcome, hence not warming to these odds.
GGG to win by KO/TKO @ 9/4 > mid-high risk bet
The record says it all: 34 knockouts from 38 fights, that’s a mental 87% KO percentage! Due to the friction build-up on account of Canelo’s drug denials and a refusal to accept a smaller purse, we can see GGG looking to let off steam and do what he couldn’t previously: win by knockout. It’s one of the greater hurdles in his illustrious boxing career but backing him to put the Mexican on the canvas at least once in this bout is not an unwise bet.
Canelo to win by decision @ 15/8 > high risk bet
We mentioned earlier that Canelo needs to be on the front foot in order to impose himself in this fight and test Golovkin’s speed and reaction time. A KO for him is completely out of the question so it’s almost a points-or-nothing route to victory for the ginger warrior.
But to be fair to him, Canelo has become something of a specialist for edging a fight against high calibre opponents on the scorecards. Take those earlier career duels against Lara, Trout, Cesar Chavez Jr and Cotto when he showed ring dominance and IQ, so we know he can grind it out when he needs to. However, this middleweight bout verses one of the all-time greats might just be a stretch too far even for a man with his skillset.
Fight to go the distance @ 8/1 > low risk bet
No-one truly knows how this main event will finish up, but we can say for certainty it won’t be a draw, nor will it end with a KO from Canelo. Knowing that GGG is favoured to retain his straps, that really only leaves two scenarios to pick from.
Either the man from Kazakhstan chases down Canelo and scores the knockdown he’s been itching for, or he loads up during clashes in tight spaces and inflicts enough damage to earn the points win respectably. They say that when two excellent middleweight duke it out, a decision win is always a very strong possibility. Take this betting market as a plan B.
Fight to end as a draw @ 20/1 > high risk bet
Just for laughs, why not bet on a repeat outcome of what happened the first time these two fighters met in the ring. 20/1 is money down the drain in reality. Bet on this fight prediction at your peril.
Fight Prediction – Golovkin to win outright
A worthwhile bet just to take double satisfaction from seeing that dirty “cheating” bastard receive the beating of a lifetime he so sorely deserves for pissing everyone around. GGG has come out publicly this time around to say Canelo is going to get the full treatment and if you’re defending the Mexican over his sham of a tainted meat alibi then you “should eat shit too.”
We are expecting the Kazakh to learn from his error of starting out slow in the prequel to this event and instead cut off the ring early doors to unload with those iron fists. If Canelo doesn’t modify his counter punching game plan, then the fight does not go his way – simple. Adelaide Byrd is not here to manipulate the scorecards and if he truly wants the win then he must meet GGG in a gun-show. If so, it only ends one way… and still..!