Derrick Lewis vs. Alexander Volkov (UFC 229) Fight Prediction, Betting Odds & Picks

The only heavyweight bout on UFC 229 will be between two of the division’s top ten fighters as Derrick Lewis and Alexander Volkov are set to battle it out on the main card.


Derrick Lewis vs. Alexander Volkov Tale of the Tape

Derrick Lewis Alexander Volkov
United StatesNationalityRussia
190 cmHeight200 cm


Lewis vs. Volkov: UFC 229 Betting Odds

Here are our pick of the betting markets worth taking a look at for this upcoming heavyweight match. Odds have been selected as an average across 10 mainstream bookmaker platforms online.

Derrick Lewis to win outright @ 6/4

Lewis has made a name for himself for three things – his heart, his durability and his one-punch knockout power. Nine of his 11 UFC wins come by way of TKO/KO, which makes it no surprise that the Black Beast has become a fan favourite in the Octagon.

Although his cardio has been tested a number of times throughout his UFC tenure, Lewis has shown an ability to grit his teeth and fight through long distances, as shown via his most recent fight against Francis Ngannou (a decision win) and his fourth round loss against Mark Hunt. Because of that, there is a possibility he can take Volkov into deep waters and win the fight via TKO or decision.

Alexander Volkov to win outright @ 4/7

Perhaps one of the best breathes of fresh air in the UFC Heavyweight division, Alexander Volkov has had a flawless start to his UFC career, having gone 4-0 in the promotion. The former Bellator Heavyweight champion is coming off a fourth round KO win against Fabricio Werdum, his 23rd stoppage win (out of 30 total victories) in his MMA career.

The 6’7 Russian has a rare combination of power and athleticism, and uses his length and reach to employ a tactical approach against his opponents. Such an approach is usually effective against the balls-to-the-wall fighting styles of fighters like Lewis, which makes a bet on a Volkov victory a compelling one to make.

Fight not to go the distance @ 4/7

Out of their combined 62 MMA fights, Volkov and Lewis have gone to the judges’ scorecards just 14 times. Both guys prefer to end their fights via knockout, with Lewis possessing tremendous one punch power while Volkov also knocks fighters out with a more technical approach which relies as much on technique and precision than it does brute power.

Like most heavyweight fights, Lewis vs. Volkov is a match which can finish in the blink of an eye, and in our view if there’s a sure bet one can place with regards to this fight, it’s that it will not be left in the hands of the judges.

Alexander Volkov to win by KO/TKO @ 15/8

Volkov’s two last fights have both ended in TKO/victories. While he does not necessarily possess the one-punch power of a fighter like Derrick Lewis, his long reach and technique usually means that his strikes eventually find the chins of his opponents.

If that’s not enough, Lewis also tends to employ a “kill or be killed” approach to his fights – while he wins most of them by TKO/KO, his three losses in the octagon have also come via TKO. Those two traits make a bet on a TKO win for Volkov a potentially solid one to make.

Our Prediction – Alexander Volkov Win, TKO/KO

Volkov is one of the smartest fighters Lewis has faced to date, and we think Volkov will keep his distance and use his reach advantage to pick his shots and quickly wear Lewis down before finishing him off.

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