Danny Garcia vs. Shawn Porter Betting Tips, Preview and Prediction

An exciting all-American match-up takes place in Brooklyn’s Barclays Centre this weekend as Danny Garcia and Shawn Porter go at it for the vacant WBC welterweight title. Although Garcia is tipped to win this event by a slim margin, a victory for him isn’t set in stone. Porter’s credentials are also water-tight, which gives us plenty of interesting fight outcomes to review.

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Tale of the Tape

Danny Garciavs.Shawn Porter
57KO %55
30Age 37


Garcia vs. Porter Betting Odds


To win outright

A glance at the tale of the tape says it all. There’s nothing between these two fights expect perhaps, current form and ambition to creep up behind Terence Crawford and Errol Spence Jr as the third best fighter in the welterweight division. When the bookmakers have the fight winner markets so close, it’s easier to foresee the fight going either way.

Backing Swift to leave Brooklyn with the belt is the obvious choice, but a shrewd punt on Showtime stopping that crusade could happen, and will pay out a more generous return on your stake.

To win outrightGarciaPorterDraw
Bet 3654/711/8
William Hill4/711/818
Marathon Bet5/810/720
Paddy Power8/156/418

Garcia to win by KO/TKO

If the names Brandon Rios, Samuel Vargas, Pauli Malignaggi and Rod Salka mean anything to you its because these fighters are only four opponents Garcia has stopped by KO or TKO in his last 10 fights. Other than Rios, it spells out that Swift hasn’t taken forced anyone of a high calibre to the canvas of late. Porter is a cut above them all and a gut instinct assumption would indicate that he will be spared the same treatment within the 12 scheduled rounds. A Garcia KO, although not likely, is possible.


Garcia to win by decision

Garcia can take his man the full distance if he needs to without running on empty. The American has been here before with high profile fighters, guys who can both take and deliver a punch, such as Lamont Peterson, Lucas Matthysse, and Zab Judah.

It’s the market that offers a measly return which means there’s something in this. Backing Swift to edge it on points is a shorter margin than the same result for Porter, so it’s a realistic outcome.

Method of victoryGarcia KO/TKOGarcia decision
Bet 3657/211/8
William Hill
Marathon Bet
Paddy Power513/10


Porter to win by decision

This is our most viable premonition for Showtime, and we’re not doubting he can’t make it happen but there are some niggles we want to address first. Porter’s fight record isn’t laded with grade A wins, if we look into how he’s beaten some of those guys – like Phil Lo Greco on a decision – and taken a beating from Kell Brook, then the notion of him just keeping up with Garcia but not winning feels about right.

But how many times have we seen judges give a one-sided account of an otherwise even match? Around this time last year it was Adelaide Byrd kissing Canelo’s ass. And there have been plenty of the same since. So don’t rule this one out, especially seeing as the odds are tempting.

Method of victoryPorter KO/TKOPorter decision
Bet 3659/213/5
William Hill
Marathon Bet
Paddy Power615/8


Keith Thurman’s Prediction


Former title holder Keith Thurman has been involved in the media build-up to this welterweight clash in volunteering his prediction on how it will end. “One-Time” was recently canvassed for his opinion on whom out of Garcia and Porter will leave the ring o Saturday with the strap he once paraded around his waist. Here is what he had to say:

  • Punching power: Edge GARCIA
  • Physical strength: Porter
  • Defence: Garcia
  • Speed: Porter
  • Boxing ability: Garcia
  • Ring IQ: Even
  • Chin: Even
  • Overall prediction: Porter


Our Prediction – Garcia To Win


When two great welterweight or middleweight boxers clash, the fight seldom tends to end early unless one fighter makes a grave error in judgement. We happen to see this event playing out to the former, with the judges having the final say.

Reading between the lines the bookmakers have tagged this welterweight contest as Danny Garcia to win on points. With very little in it in terms of form, KO ratio, reach, heigh and weight, this could make for a scenario where the fight is won on ring dominance and pressure.


Don’t miss out on more boxing betting predictions this month, head over to our main section for a full rundown on main events.

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