Daniel Cormier vs. Derrick Lewis Fight Prediction [Updated]

It may have taken a while, but the UFC were finally able to put together a Main Event for the upcoming UFC 230 in Madison Square Garden. It promises to be a barn burner as Heavyweight champion Daniel Cormier will make his first defence of the title against Derrick Lewis. Check out our prediction along with picks for UFC 230 betting markets to run with.


Fight Preview

Daniel Cormier Derrick Lewis
United StatesNationalityUnited States
180 cmHeight190 cm
21-1-0 (1NC)Record21-5-0 (1NC)

Dana White had a bit of a wobble when Diaz vs. Poirier was scratched from the main card but thankfully, Mr reliable, aka. Daniel Cormier was only a phone call away. But the two-time champion has been making headlines for reasons other than his form leading up to this event; Jon Jones is set to return this winter and the rumour mill was brimming with talk of them getting it on for a third time. Fans may have to wait on that count, as the queue to conquer Cormier at 225 lbs is solidifying nicely, with Lewis and potentially Brock Lensar on the horizon.

Whilst DC has received ample to time to ease into this heavyweight contest, it’s been a whirlwind of a month for challenger Lewis. The Black Beast, fresh from dropping Alexander Drago Volkov in a fight of the night performance on the UFC 229 main event, was fast-tracked into pole position to meet Cormier for the belt. As a man who humbly admits to not be in the best physical shape for such a solid test, it’s statements like being willing ‘to punch anyone in the face for money’ that underline his inclusion as a main event draw.


UFC 230 Fight Card

Here is the full, updated schedule for the main event at UFC 230.

Heavyweight Daniel Cormier (c) vs. Derrick Lewis
Middleweight Chris Weidman vs. Ronaldo Souza
Middleweight David Branch vs. Jared Cannonier
Middleweight Karl Roberson vs. Jack Marshman
Middleweight Derek Brunson vs. Israel Adesanya

Cormier vs. Lewis Betting Odds and Picks

Cormier wins this bout, right? No contest whatsoever, ending the fight within the distance according to the masses. If you’re looking for alternative betting markets that offer greater odds than the obvious predicted outcome, then our selection below may be worth adding to your weekend accumulator.


Derrick Lewis to win outright @ 4/1

The ‘Black Beast’ will be challenging for the title just four weeks after his last appearance in the Octagon; a come from behind TKO win over Alexander Volkov at UFC 229. Lewis is a fight analyst’s nightmare, since he has the ability to come back from severe adversity to win a fight with one of solid right hands.

Lewis has faced some strong competition in his 26-fight MMA career, but Cormier is easily the biggest challenge he’s faced. Cormier will be the far fresher fighter and will almost certainly have a solid game plan against Lewis. However, Lewis’s unpredictable finishing ability makes a small punt on a Lewis win one could yield a huge payday.

Daniel Cormier to win outright @ 7/1

DC has proven himself to be one of the best mixed martial artists of recent years, if not ever. He became just the second fighter to hold two championship belts simultaneously when he defeated Stipe Miocic at UFC 226.

Cormier is an extremely well-rounded fighter, who has shown an elite level striking, wrestling and submission game throughout his time in Strikeforce and the UFC. Along with that, Cormier has also shown an ability to properly tailor his approach to his specific opponents, something shown by the fact he employed a close clinch game with Miocic while employing a wrestling-centric approach in his last Light Heavyweight defence against Volkan Oezdemir.

The AKA product is the solid favourite going into this fight, and with his decorated history, it isn’t hard to see why.

Daniel Cormier to win by submission @ 3/1

Although Lewis has never lost a fight by submission, it can be argued that he has not faced a submission artist quite like Cormier. Cormier’s most recent submission wins may also be telling as to how he may aim to finish the Black Beast.

Cormier’s last two submission victories both came against Anthony Johnson and were both by way of rear-naked choke. Like Lewis, Johnson carries huge power in his hands, which was a major reason Cormier opted to use his wrestling against him. Cormier may try to implement a similar approach to Lewis to try and nullify his power punches, and ultimately submit him when Lewis is gassed.

Derrick Lewis to win by TKO/KO @ 7/1

If his last fight against Alexander Volkov showed us anything, it is that Lewis is never out until either the ref waves off the fight or when the final bell has sounded. Volkov dominated Lewis for the entire fight and was en route to a 30-27 victory when Lewis finished the Russian with a thunderous punch out of nowhere with 11 seconds to go in the fight.

If Lewis is to be the next UFC Heavyweight champion, it will be in a similar fashion. He does not have the technical skills to keep up with Cormier, but all he needs is to land one clean punch at any time during the fight.


Our Prediction – Daniel Cormier Win via Submission

It seems that anytime we predict a Lewis loss, we get proven wrong. However, as we’ve stated Cormier is by far the best fighter Lewis has faced to date, and he will wrestle Lewis and submit him in the second or third round.

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