This weekend we turn our attention to Wembley Stadium to watch undisputed world heavyweight champion and home favourite Anthony Joshua take on mandatory challenger Alexander Povetkin in a 12-round title fight. We’re tipping the champion to retain his silverware, despite the threat of the visiting Russian, so let’s get into the prediction and betting picks.
Tale of the Tape
|Anthony Joshua||vs.||Alexander Povetkin|
|198 cm||Height||188 cm|
|208 cm||Reach||191 cm|
|W, W, W, W, W||Last five fights||W, W, W, W, W|
Anthony Joshua v Alexander Povetkin Prediction
Now that the fog of a Wilder and Fury showdown has momentarily cleared the world of boxing can return to salivating over the build-up to a less hyped, but equally flavoursome encounter between Joshua and Povetkin. The two heavyweights have never faced one another on the professional circuit but they square off on Sat, 22nd September in a bout we expect Joshua to edge on points.
What makes this fight all the more interesting is the uncertainty a landslide victory for Joshua from critics and bookmakers. They say in fighting Povetkin he is looking at a potential “banana skin”. The Russian may be tough as they come and reeling from a David Price KO, but there are levels to this game and fighting AJ is his biggest test to date.
We’re backing the champ to continue in his winning streak in cautious fashion by dominating this bout with a unanimous points decision.
Selected Betting Tips
Given below is our pick of the Joshua vs. Povetkin betting markets and their risk factor. We’ve calculated the odds based on offers from 10 mainstream bookmaker platforms.
Joshua to win outright @ 2/17 > Low risk
On paper, this is AJ’s fight. He trumps Povetkin for age, speed, height, reach and sheer talent. For all his flaws – a tendency to leave his left hand too low or, when throwing out the jab, his chin too exposed as he did against Klitschko – Joshua’s cardio and ring IQ should see him through the fight comfortably.
Povetkin to win outright @8/1 > High risk
It could happen. But if so, it’s won’t be through fancy footwork and elegant combinations. Povetkin may be the wrong side of 39 and giving away up to four inches in height however this heavyweight can hit like a mule. After losing to Wladimir Klitschko 13 years ago, he went on a rampant run of stopping six of his next eight opponents inside the distance. Most recently, David Price felt the power of the right sledgehammer.
Joshua to win by KO/TKO @ 4/11 > High risk
Racking up a 95% KO %, AJ has gone the full distance in only one of his 21 professional fights. The only man to take him him to the scorecards is Joseph Parker, in a a fight that never truly kicked in, albeit due to questionable refereeing. Although some may argue that after eating up those bombs from Klitschko, Joshua was reluctant to trade with the Kiwi. Either way, a more patient and mindful approach going into this fight minimises the probability of a KO – especially knowing that Povetkin can unload in catastrophic fashion.
Joshua to win by decision @ 3/1 > Low risk
For those reasons above, betting on Joshua to stretch this fight to 12 rounds is not entirely out of the question. Preserving his legacy in order to advance onto face either the winner of Wilder/Fury or even Whyte/Chisora will remain in his peripheral vision. Few risks makes for a dull fight, but with Eddie Hearn in his ear, AJ is as much a businessman now as he is an athlete.
Joshua to win in rounds 9-12 @ 7/2 > Mid risk
Leaving the Parker fight to one side, AJ has demonstrated a knack for coming on strong in the later rounds in recent fights, which is why betting on him to stop Povetkin between rounds 9-12 could pay out well. Against Klitschko and Takam he came through with a second wind to overpower each boxer respectively. In fighting a robust and diligent Russian brawler, keeping busy with potshots early on could open up opportunities for him to catch an opponent on tired legs and spent cardio towards the championship rounds.
How to Watch the Fight
Joshua vs. Povetkin is the main draw on the Matchroom promotions event, scheduled for Saturday, September 22, 2018. The fight is taking place at Wembley Stadium (London) where Joshua last fought Wladimir Klitschko in April 2017.
You can watch this event live on Sky Sports Box Office or through the streaming platform DAZN, the US service covering all major Matchroom fights.